Political Games Forever

United Kingdom - 2010, by Tom Hughes, has now been added to the scenarios page for our election game simulation.

From the scenario designer: “For the first time in half a century, neither the Liberty nor Heritage Parties have an incumbent President or Vice-President running in the election. The ever present National Unity Party is surging in popularity. Based on an alternative history of North America - the Federation of American States.”

Since we did it in 2004, we’ll take another round with the upcoming election.

It seems like momentum is in McCain’s favor right now - the stock market had a good week last week, and he’s had several good days including a couple mini-scandals on Obama. However, Obama has built a large polling advantage and has an incredible national GOTV apparatus. This will be too much for McCain to overcome.

Final prediction:

Obama wins with 320+ E.V., +5pp.

The TheorySpark Team