Update - Electability and the Ron Paul Problem

In the upcoming version, we have introduced a new variable called Electability.

In the 2008 scenario’s primaries, Ron Paul tends to do better than people think he should do. Part of the problem with Ron Paul in particular was that in the scenario he receives large amounts of money (reflecting his real-world fundraising success). However, it was also a trend with other candidates that people did not expect to do that well. This has become known as the Ron Paul Problem.

To address this, we have introduced Electability in the upcoming version. Each candidate has an Electability value, from 0-100. It is determined by 3 things. The candidate’s attributes (such as Leadership, Issue Experience, and so on) weighted for the attributes’ profiles, the candidate’s distance from the center for various issues weighted for the issues’ profiles, and their momentum.

The lower the Electability value, the less likely potential voters are to move to that candidate’s camp.

Here are some sample values from the upcoming 2008 scenario for various candidates:

Obama: 84

Clinton: 76

Edwards: 75

McCain: 83

Romney: 92

Paul: 35

(Note: These can and do change as a game progresses.)

Electability goes part of the way to solving something that was missing from the game (a voters’ reluctance to vote for someone who was not “Electable” in some way), and therefore part of the way to solving the Ron Paul Problem.

Feedback appreciated as always.

Share This

2 Responses to “Update - Electability and the Ron Paul Problem”

  1. Andrew Says:

    When is this update going to be available?

  2. admin Says:

    No official release date - I approximate within 2 weeks.

Leave a Reply


Close
E-mail It