Political Game Theory
Think your political game theory is tops? Then test it out. Try Politico.com’s Kingmaker game, here.
Essentially, this is an election market, but you bet nothing and get a big prize if you win. It’s your chance to apply all that political game theory you learned to the 2008 primaries elections.
You need to predict the actual percentages for the candidates in the primaries. Right now, you can make political predictions for the primaries up to Michigan’s on January 15, 2008. The person with the most points by March 4 wins.

You place your predictions by moving the candidate around. Here John Edwards’ chances are being set for the Iowa caucuses. A bar on a graph represents your prediction for each candidate. If you move the candidate up higher on the graph, the bar will become narrower, indicating a riskier prediction, because it covers fewer possible percentages for that candidate’s vote results. If you move a candidate to near the very bottom of the graph, you can cover a large range but with a much diminished payout. All in all, another neat political ‘game’.
(Or you can try this game.)
Have fun!
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December 20th, 2007 at 1:04 pm
Thanks for the mention TheorySpark folks!
We have no idea whether a lot of people will sign up or a small number will sign up, but hey, the prizes are pretty sweet- a trip to the White House Correspondent’s Dinner and a lot of Amazon.com gift certificates.
-Andrew
December 20th, 2007 at 1:24 pm
[…] folks over at TheorySpark have given their take on Kingmaker. Some brief snippets: Essentially, this is an election market, but you bet nothing and get a big […]