New 2008 Game Scenario - Democrats
In the US election game 2008 scenario, we are about to release a new version using the actual October 1st data from the real world. It’s interesting to note the changes in the primaries standings between the two versions. Here is a picture of the Democrats’ state of affair from the version released in June:
(click here to see the full-size image)
This is what it looks like now, with the latest October 1st polling data:
(click here to see the full-size image)
What are the interesting trends? Well, first, every state still has the same leader, with three exceptions. Texas and Wyoming go from Tie to Leaning Clinton, and Virginia goes from Edwards to Tie. Even though Iowa now has Clinton leading in most polls, whereas back in June it was Edwards, it is still close enough that the state is white (tied) in the game.
The second big trend is Clinton’s consolidation of her lead. While she has risen in national polls, both Obama and Edwards have fallen, and this is reflected in the new game scenario. Her estimated delegates in the game has risen from 2572 to 2783. Obama’s delegates take has slumped from 1273 to 724. Edwards has managed to keep about the same number of delegates - 310 to 306.
Next will be the Republicans, which is a little more interesting.
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